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Looking Into My “Golden Globe” To Predict Sunday Night

Hollywood Foreign Press Asso. / Getty Images

The Awards Season is about to be in full swing.  After Thursday night’s Critics Choice Awards, the next step on the Road To The Oscars stops with the 69th Annual Golden Globe Awards hosted by Ricky Gervais for the 3rd straight year.  NBC brings all of the festivities, craziness, and occasional drunken moment at what is one of the biggest parties in Hollywood.  This show you must expect the unexpected, which makes predicting what will happen almost impossible, but here’s my view to be held against me by Monday.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama

George Clooney for The Descendants

Leonardo DiCaprio for J. Edgar

Michael Fassbender for Shame

Ryan Gosling for The Ides of March

Brad Pitt for Moneyball

SHOULD WIN: Clooney  WILL WIN: Clooney

Considering George is also nominated for directing the Hollywood Foreign Press will reward him here and deservedly (Woody Allen and Martin Scorsese should be the battle for the Director honor).  Leo’s film bombed, Fassbender’s performance gets somewhat hurt by the film’s NC-17 rating, and sports themed movies have not always gotten much respect in the past.  Gosling will win this night, just not in this category.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama

Glenn Close for Albert Nobbs

Viola Davis for The Help

Meryl Streep for The Iron Lady

Tilda Swinton for We Need to Talk About Kevin

SHOULD WIN: Meryl Streep — She looks the part of Margaret Thatcher, plays it powerfully, and in a group of great performances, she noses just ahead of Close who played a man.

WILL WIN: Viola Davis — Her Critics Choice Award win may be the beginning of a big season for the movie that every award seems to want to recognize.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical

Jean Dujardin for The Artist

Brendan Gleeson for The Guard

Joseph Gordon-Levitt for 50/50

Ryan Gosling for Crazy, Stupid, Love.

Owen Wilson for Midnight in Paris

SHOULD WIN: Dujardin  WILL WIN: Gosling — This is hard to figure out because a win for Dujardin would increase his chances for an Oscar nomination, but with Gosling being a multiple nominee the reward has to come somewhere.  Fact is Gosling’s performance in The Ides Of March is stronger, and Dujardin acted in a silent film that caused him to use so much to make his performance sing.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical

Jodie Foster for Carnage

Charlize Theron for Young Adult

Kristen Wiig for Bridesmaids

Michelle Williams for My Week with Marilyn

Kate Winslet for Carnage

SHOULD WIN – Wiig  WILL WIN- Theron — Bridesmaids is the biggest comedy of the past year and deserves to win something.  Although I thought Melissa McCarthy stole the movie, Wiig was the glue that binded that film to the heights is soared to.  Knowing that a win here could help Theron toward an Oscar nomination may have swayed the Hollywood Foreign Press in their thinking this year.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Supporting Role

Kenneth Branagh for My Week with Marilyn

Albert Brooks for Drive

Jonah Hill for Moneyball

Viggo Mortensen for A Dangerous Method

Christopher Plummer for Beginners

SHOULD WIN: Brooks  WILL WIN: Plummer or Branagh — This is the Foreign Press which will help the 2 foreigners here, and Plummer (Canadian) has the slight edge over Branagh (Ireland).  Plummer has been some of his best work of his career in his Golden Years, and at 82 this may be a fitting reward for a wonderful career.  Brooks playing a villain may have had the toughest role of this bunch, and when you consider Hollywood always loves a great comeback story (Drive was Brooks’ return to the big screen after a 6-year hiatus), that is my reasoning why he should win (Brooks has not been nominated for anything since ’96 for Mother).

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Supporting Role

Berenice Bejo for The Artist

Jessica Chatain for The Help

Janet McTeer for Albert Nobbs

Octavia Spencer for The Help

Shailene Woodley for The Descendants

SHOULD WIN – Davis  WILL WIN – Davis — Part of a big night for this film!

Best Motion Picture Drama

The Descendants / The Help / Hugo / The Ides of March / Moneyball / War Horse

SHOULD WIN – The Desendents  WILL WINThe HelpTough judgement call, but the buzz leans to The Help to wrap up a big night for this film.

Best Motion Picture Comedy or Musical

The Artist / Bridesmaids / 50/50 / Midnight in Paris / My Week with Marilyn

SHOULD WIN – Bridesmaids  WILL WIN – The Artist — If The Hangover can win this category a couple of years back, why shouldn’t Bridesmaids.  A win here would force Oscar voters to give this film respect, but the throwback to the silent era seems to be a lock (but I’m truly hoping for the upset here!)

For the TV world, look for a big night for cable networks and further expose the problem with network television.  The drama categories are dominated by cable, and you may notice that the #1 rated show on TV (NCIS) has not been nominated for anything.!

ABC may be the big winner out of the Big 4 because of Modern Family.  The upset I’m calling for will be in the Best Actor in a Comedy Series category.  Matt LeBlanc had to play an exaggeration of himself in the Showtime series Episodes and did a wonderful job in the process – the reward is coming!

Meanwhile watch the censors working overtime this evening, and lost of laughter.  Gervais is the best host in the game today, and nobody will be free from his wit – making this evening cannot miss TV.

 

 

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